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Authors
Affiliations
1 Bechar University B. P. 417,08000 Bechar., DZ
Source
International Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Systems, Vol 4, No 1 (2011), Pagination: 1-16
Abstract
The aim of this work is to discuss and find the best and appropriate modeling of Seasonal Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), and uses it as an element of forecasting of the number of arrival tourists to Bechar as a tourists destination in Algeria by considering the minimum of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). The results of fitting were as follows: the best SARIMA Model for fitting arrival tourists is ARIMA(1,0,1)×(2,1,2)4 with a constant.
Keywords
Tourism, Time Series, Sarima, Box-jenkins, Forecasting And Algeria
References
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