Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access
Open Access Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Restricted Access Subscription Access

Performance of Cotton Production and Export in the Major Producing Countries


Affiliations
1 Department of Agricultural Economics, Anand Agricultural University, Anand (Gujarat), India
2 International Agribusiness Management Institute, Anand Agricultural University, Anand (Gujarat), India
3 Agribusiness Economics and Policies, International Agribusiness Management Institute, Anand Agricultural University, Anand (Gujarat), India
     

   Subscribe/Renew Journal


The present investigation was conducted to study the growth rates and instability indices in production, area, productivity and export of cotton, and the components of output growth in the major cotton producing countries. The study used secondary data covering a period of 29 years i.e.1980-81 to 2009-10. The analyses were carried out country wise separately for the five specific periods viz., overall study period (1980-81 to 2009-10), pre-liberalization period (1980-81 to 1993-94), post-liberalization period (1995-96 to 2009-10), pre-Bt introduction period (1995-96 to 2001-02) and post-Bt introduction period (2002-03 to 2009-10). The countries concerned in the study were China, India, USA, Pakistan, Brazil and Australia. The results of the study showed that there were variations in growth rates and instability of area, productivity, production and export during the five periods. The country-wise picture was composite. Some countries witnessed higher growth and instability while others experienced a relatively low growth and instability. The analysis of components of growth in cotton output showed that the main contribution to growth in Australia, Brazil, China and USA was predominately due to area effect. Whereas, in India and Pakistan the main contribution to cotton output growth was yield effect. Technological programmes to play a substantial role in achieving high growth rate of cotton production should be designed. Such programmes and policies should include developing new high yielding varieties and provision of irrigation facilities to cotton growing farmers. Research efforts are needed to strengthen agricultural extension and the cotton breeding programmes using new efficient technologies.

Keywords

Export, Growth, Instability Indices, Technology, Decomposition Model.
Subscription Login to verify subscription
User
Notifications
Font Size


  • Agarwal, I. (2008). Total factor productivity of cotton in India, CICR (RS), Coimbatore. TMC MM-I, Annual report, 2009-2010.
  • Anonymous (2006). Cotton: The new crop in western bahia, AgBrazil, www.agribrazil.com
  • Carpio, E.C. and Ramirez, O.A. (2002). Forecasting foreign cotton production: the case on India, Pakistan and Australia. Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX www.aaec.ttu.edu/publications/beltwide%202002/d044.pdf
  • Chand, R. and Raju, S.S. (2008). Instability in Indian agriculture during different phases of technology and policy, Discussion Paper NPP 01/2008, National Centre for Agricultural Economics and Policy Research, ICAR, New Delhi.
  • Chaudhry, G.M., Mustafa, M. and Muhammad, A. (1996). Growth of output and productivity in Pakistan’s agriculture: Trends, sources, and policy implications, Pakistan Development Review, 35(4):527-536.
  • Cuddy, J.D.A. and Della Valle, P.A. (1978) Measuring the instability of time series data, Oxford Bull. Econ. & Statistics, 40 (1):79-85
  • Goyal, S.K., Pandey, R.N. and Singh, J.P. (2000). India’s agricultural exports, Growth and instability. Foreign Trade Rev., 35 (1):32-46.
  • Green, William H. (2000). Econometric analysis. Prentice Hall, New Jersey.
  • Hussain, F. (2010) Pakistan’s Exports Demand: A Disaggregated Analysis. SBP Research Bulletin, 6(2):1-13
  • Jamal, H. and Zaman, A. (1992). Decomposition of growth trend in agriculture: Another approach. Indian J. Agric. Econ., 47 (4):644-651.
  • Kiawu, J., Valdes, C. and MacDonald, S. (2011). Brazil’s cotton industry economic reform and development, Economic Research Service, www.ers.usda.gov.
  • Lissdaniels, J. and Madsen F.S. (2011). The fall and rise of the Brazilian cotton sector, bachelor’s thesis, Department of Economics, Lund University, Sweden.
  • Mahadevaiah, G.S., Chengappa, P.G. and Ravi, P.C. (2005). Stability analysis of raw cotton export mark of India – Markov Chain Approach. Agric. Econ. Res. Rev., 18 (2) : 253-259.
  • Minhas, B.S. and Vaiyanathan, A. (1965). Growth of crop output in India, 1951-54 to 1958-61: Analysis by component elements. J. Ind Soc. Agri.Stat., 17(2): 230-252.
  • Mohamed, E., Mahir, A.E. and Abdelaziz, H.H. (2010). Estimation of growth rates and analysis of its components in the Gezira scheme. Res. J. Agric. & Biolog. Sci., 6(6): 885-890.
  • Nazli , H., Sarker, R., Meilke, K. and Orden, D. (2010). Economic performance of Bt cotton varieties in Pakistan, Presented at the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association’s 2010 AAEA, CAES & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, Denver, Colorado.
  • Nithya, V.G. and Arunkumar Y.S. (2007). Cotton production in Karnataka, India- A growth rate analysis, University of Agricultural Sciences, Bangalore, India. www.isee2010.org
  • Parikh, A. (1966). State wise growth rate in agricultural output: An econometric analysis, Artha Vijana, 8: 1-52.
  • Ratna, R.S. (2009). Cotton production, exports and price: A comparative analysis of India and USA Published by centre for WTO studies, Indian Institute of Foreign Trade, IIFT Bhawan, Qutab Institutional Area, New Delhi, Website: http://wtocentre.iift.ac.in
  • Reddy, A.A. (2009). Research report on factor productivity and marketed surplus of major crops in India: Analysis of Orissa state (Final Report May 2009), Submitted to Planning Commission. Government of India, www.planningcommision.nic.in
  • Salam, A., Rehman, F. and Saeed, I. (2011). Estimating growth rates and decomposition analysis of agricultural production in Pakistan: Pre and Post SAP analysis, Sarhad J. Agric., 27(1):125-131.
  • Singh, I.J., Rai, K.N. and Karwasra, J.C. (1997). Regional variations in agricultural performance in India. Indian J. Agric. Econ., 52 (3):374-386.
  • Tarpara, V.D, Shiyani, R.L. and Thesiya, N.M. (2010). Regional disparity in growth and instability in area, production and yield of major crops of Gujarat state (1960-61 to 2008-09), Annual research report, for the seventh meeting of agril. Economics, Agril. Statistics and extension education, Junagadh Agricultural University, Junagadh, 96-121.
  • Zhao, X. and Tisdell, C. (2009). A comparative study of China’s and Australia’s cotton production, Economic theory applications and issues, published by school of economics, University of Queensland, 4072, Australia.
  • ICAC (2005), www.icac.org
  • Osakwe, E. (2009) Cotton fact sheet: www.icac.org USDA (1999), www.usda.gov
  • unstats.un.org
  • www.icac.org
  • www.unctad.org
  • www.usda.gov
  • www.fao.org

Abstract Views: 233

PDF Views: 0




  • Performance of Cotton Production and Export in the Major Producing Countries

Abstract Views: 233  |  PDF Views: 0

Authors

Dhumisani Moyo
Department of Agricultural Economics, Anand Agricultural University, Anand (Gujarat), India
Y. C. Zala
International Agribusiness Management Institute, Anand Agricultural University, Anand (Gujarat), India
R. S. Pundir
Agribusiness Economics and Policies, International Agribusiness Management Institute, Anand Agricultural University, Anand (Gujarat), India

Abstract


The present investigation was conducted to study the growth rates and instability indices in production, area, productivity and export of cotton, and the components of output growth in the major cotton producing countries. The study used secondary data covering a period of 29 years i.e.1980-81 to 2009-10. The analyses were carried out country wise separately for the five specific periods viz., overall study period (1980-81 to 2009-10), pre-liberalization period (1980-81 to 1993-94), post-liberalization period (1995-96 to 2009-10), pre-Bt introduction period (1995-96 to 2001-02) and post-Bt introduction period (2002-03 to 2009-10). The countries concerned in the study were China, India, USA, Pakistan, Brazil and Australia. The results of the study showed that there were variations in growth rates and instability of area, productivity, production and export during the five periods. The country-wise picture was composite. Some countries witnessed higher growth and instability while others experienced a relatively low growth and instability. The analysis of components of growth in cotton output showed that the main contribution to growth in Australia, Brazil, China and USA was predominately due to area effect. Whereas, in India and Pakistan the main contribution to cotton output growth was yield effect. Technological programmes to play a substantial role in achieving high growth rate of cotton production should be designed. Such programmes and policies should include developing new high yielding varieties and provision of irrigation facilities to cotton growing farmers. Research efforts are needed to strengthen agricultural extension and the cotton breeding programmes using new efficient technologies.

Keywords


Export, Growth, Instability Indices, Technology, Decomposition Model.

References