Aina Aidarova ¹, Elmira Dosmuratova ¹, Aimzhan Zhakeshova ¹, Sattar Kuashbay ², Almaz Kupeshev ³

Affiliations
1 M. Auezov South-Kazakhstan State University, Shymkent City, Kazakhstan
2 Shymkent University, Shymkent City, Kazakhstan
3 Miras University, Shymkent City, Kazakhstan

Abstract

Background/Objectives: The goal of the paper is to ensure that food security of the Republic of Kazakhstan is one of the most important functions of public authorities. It is realized by state regulation of foreign trade in foodstuff. Modern feature of foodstuff foreign trade regulation in Kazakhstan is that it has to be carried out taking into account the restrictions imposed by the ascension to the Customs Union, the World Trade Organization and formation of the Common Economic Space. The need to consider the specified restrictions determined relevance of the conducted studies, defined their object and the pragmatic purpose. State regulation in the field of ensuring food security of Kazakhstan in the conditions of the Customs Union is accepted as an object of research. Methods/Statistical Analysis: As a forecasting approach, the author uses scenario method, which is a factographic one and is based on extrapolating the development trends into the future. The advantage of using the scenario method of forecasting food security level worldwide is expressed in the ability to clearly formulate and compare different probable or desirable development prospects. The technical tools of developing scenarios forecast of food security level in the study is an artificial neural network, i.e., a mathematical model that represents a system of simple processors (artificial neurons) and connections between them determined by weighting indexes. Findings: As the carried-out analysis has shown, regulation in the field of ensuring food security has to be directed on decrease in dependence of the state on food imports. One of effective instruments of decreasing import dependence of the Republic of Kazakhstan is customs regulation of foodstuff movement through the customs border of the Customs Union. Applications/Improvements: Mode free circulation of goods within the Customs Union will contribute to the expansion of intra-industry trade and industrial and technological cooperation of the participating countries; will create favorable conditions for mutual investment, the formation of cross-border innovation and industrial clusters.

Keywords

Customs Union, Food Security, Gross Domestic Product, Kazakhstan, World Trade Organization

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Aina Aidarova ¹, Мakhalbay Uskenov ¹, Aimzhan Zhakeshova ¹, Elmira Dosmuratova ¹, Darikul Kulanova ¹

Affiliations
1 M. Auezov South - Kazakhstan State University, Shymkent City, Kazakhstan

Abstract

Background/Objectives: The aim of this study is to choose the methods of economic analysis and develop economic and mathematic models for forecasting and economic growth to enhance the competitiveness of individual companies and the country's cotton-textile cluster. Methods: We used a variety of methods and techniques of economic analysis, including abstract thinking, economics and statistics, calculation and design, correlation regression analysis and trend model. Development of a mathematic model of the trend allows solving the problem-providing analysis of forecasting the dynamics of performance indicators. Findings: The factorial analysis findings indicate very high strength of result variation casualty by a variation of factors. According to the analysis, the performance of the industry can be monitored, and timely measures can be taken to eliminate shortcomings in the industrial and economic activities of the industry. The use of cluster model for the textile industry development in Kazakhstan is an important factor to increase the competitiveness of individual companies and the entire cotton-textile industry. Cluster approach allows mobilizing all economic factors in a certain direction. The main prerequisite for the creation of cotton-textile cluster is to restore an intermediate link in the chain of values added of cotton and textile sector for the dynamic development of yarn and fabrics production which today possesses the greatest competitive potential in the country. Further development of the agrarian and industrial complex of Kazakhstan should be guided by increase of competitiveness of agricultural products due to increase of efficiency of the state support and creation of equal favorable conditions for agribusiness development. Applications/Improvements: The obtained results can be used for further research on this issue and for increasing the competitiveness of the cotton and cotton-textile cluster enterprises in the country.

Keywords

Competitiveness, Cotton, Cotton-Textile Cluster, Correlation and Regression Analysis, Factorial Analysis, The Republic of Kazakhstan

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