Indian Journal of Research in Capital Markets

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Return, Volatility, and Volume : Causality Relationship of Top 10 Companies of Nifty 50


Affiliations
1 Associate Professor & Head, School of Management Studies, Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology, Allahabad -211 004, Uttar Pradesh, India
2 Research Scholar, School of Management Studies, Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology, Allahabad - 211 004, Uttar Pradesh, India
3 Independent Researcher, School of Management Studies, Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology, Allahabad - 211004, Uttar Pradesh, India

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The present paper dealt with the short-run causal relationship between stock returns, stock price volatility, and trading volume of top 10 companies of the National Stock Exchange. Granger causality test was applied to the data taken on a quarterly basis from 2008-09 to 2014-15. The study found bi-directional relationship between stock returns and trading volume of HDFC Bank and TCS, that is, trading volume was found to reinforce stock returns and returns to reinforce trading volume. Again, in case of Reliance Industries, bi-directional or two way causal relationships were found between stock return and volatility. There was uni-directional or one way causality relationship in case of stock returns and trading volume of Infosys and Reliance, which means returns Granger cause trading volume, but this does not apply the other way around. This implies that there is an indication of noise trading model of interaction between stock returns and trading volume in these stocks.

Keywords

Stock Return, Trading Volume, Volatility, Augmented Dickey Fuller, Granger Causality Test

C32, G12, G14

Paper Submission Date : March 11, 2016 ; Paper sent back for Revision : March 20, 2016 ; Paper Acceptance Date : June 19, 2016.

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  • Return, Volatility, and Volume : Causality Relationship of Top 10 Companies of Nifty 50

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Authors

Tanuj Nandan
Associate Professor & Head, School of Management Studies, Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology, Allahabad -211 004, Uttar Pradesh, India
Pravin Kumar Agrawal
Research Scholar, School of Management Studies, Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology, Allahabad - 211 004, Uttar Pradesh, India
Tanu Agarwal
Independent Researcher, School of Management Studies, Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology, Allahabad - 211004, Uttar Pradesh, India

Abstract


The present paper dealt with the short-run causal relationship between stock returns, stock price volatility, and trading volume of top 10 companies of the National Stock Exchange. Granger causality test was applied to the data taken on a quarterly basis from 2008-09 to 2014-15. The study found bi-directional relationship between stock returns and trading volume of HDFC Bank and TCS, that is, trading volume was found to reinforce stock returns and returns to reinforce trading volume. Again, in case of Reliance Industries, bi-directional or two way causal relationships were found between stock return and volatility. There was uni-directional or one way causality relationship in case of stock returns and trading volume of Infosys and Reliance, which means returns Granger cause trading volume, but this does not apply the other way around. This implies that there is an indication of noise trading model of interaction between stock returns and trading volume in these stocks.

Keywords


Stock Return, Trading Volume, Volatility, Augmented Dickey Fuller, Granger Causality Test

C32, G12, G14

Paper Submission Date : March 11, 2016 ; Paper sent back for Revision : March 20, 2016 ; Paper Acceptance Date : June 19, 2016.