Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access
Open Access Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Restricted Access Subscription Access

Conditional Selectivity Performance of Indian Mutual Fund Managers


Affiliations
1 Associate Professor, Department of Commerce, Mahatma Gandhi Central University, Motihari, Bihar, India, India
     

   Subscribe/Renew Journal


In India, the performance evaluation of mutual fund based on the conditional model is scanty. This study focuses particularly on stock selection performance of the selected open-ended mutual fund schemes under the framework of conditional investment performance measure, over the period 2001 to 2019, by taking into consideration monthly closing NAV values. The study also considers 91-day Treasury bill rate as risk-free rate. Along with this, the study examines the difference in performances between the traditional model (unconditional) and the conditional model. The regression result is the absence of heteroscedasticity and multicollinearity problems. The time series data is also free from unit root. It is observed that the significant stock-selection performance is reduced after inclusion of public information in the conditional model, and the alpha values of the schemes are also reduced, compared to the unconditional model. The statistical test shows insignificant difference between the two measures.

Keywords

Conditional Model, Ferson, Mutual Fund, Performance Appraisal, Selectivity, Traditional Model
Subscription Login to verify subscription
User
Notifications
Font Size

  • Arditi, F. D. (1971). Another look at mutual fund performance. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 6(3), 909-912.
  • Artikis, G. (2004). Bond mutual fund managers performance in Greece. Journal of Managerial Finance, 30(10), 1-6.
  • Athanassakas, G., Carayannopoulos, P., & Racine, M. (2002). How effective is aggressive portfolio management? Canadian Investment Review, 39-49.
  • Chander, R. (2005). Empirical investigation on the investment managers stock- selection abilities: The Indian experience. The ICFAI Journal of Applied Finance, 11, 5-20.
  • Chang, E. C., & Lewellen, W. G. (1984). Market-timing and mutual fund investment performance. Journal of Business, 57, 57-72.
  • Chen, Z., & Knez, P. (1996). Portfolio performance measurement: Theory and applications. Review of Financial Studies, 9(2), 511-555.
  • Christopherson, J. A., Ferson, W. E., & Glassman, D. (1998). Conditioning manager alphas on economic information: Another look at the persistence of performance. Review of Financial Studies, 11(1), 111-142.
  • Christopherson, J. A., Ferson, W. E., & Turner, A. (1999).Performance evaluation using conditional alphas and betas. Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(1), 59-72.
  • Coggin, T. D., Fabozzi, F. J., & Rahman, S. (1993). The investment performance of US equity pension fund managers: An empirical investigation. Journal of Finance, 1039-1055.
  • Drew, E. M., Veeraraghavan, M., & Wilson, V. (2005).Market-timing, selectivity and alpha generation: Evidence from Australian equity superannuation funds. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 2, 111-127.
  • Dybvig, P., & Ross, S. (1985). Differential information and performance measurement using a security market line. Journal of Finance, 40(2), 383-399.
  • Fama, E. F. (1972). Components of investment performance. The Journal of Finance, 27(3), 551-567.
  • Fama, E., & French, K. (1989). Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 25(1), 23-49.
  • Ferson, W., & Schadt, R. (1996). Measuring fund strategy and performance in changing economic condition.Journal of Finance, 51(6), 425-461.
  • Ferson, W., & Warther, V. (1996). Evaluating fund performance in a dynamic market. Financial Analysts Journal, 52(6), 20-28.
  • Ferson, W., & Qian, M. (2004). Conditional performance evaluation, revisited, Working Paper. Boston College-EUA.
  • Fransworth, H. (1997). Conditional performance evaluation. In D. Paxson, & D. Wood (Eds), Blackwell Encyclopedic Dictionary of Finance (pp. 23-24).Blackwell Business.
  • Graham, J. R., & Campbell, R. H. (1996). Market timing ability and volatility implied in investment newsletter asset allocation recommendations. Journal of Financial Economics, 42, 397-422.
  • Grant, D. (1977). Portfolio performance and the cost of timing decisions. Journal of Finance, 32(3), 837-846.
  • Grinblatt, M., & Titman, S. (1989). Portfolio performance evaluation: Old issues and new insights. Review of Financial Studies, 2(3), 393-421.
  • Gordon, M. J., & Gangoli, R. (1962). Choice among and scale of play on lottery type alternatives (pp. 1-25). College of Business Administration, University of Rochester.
  • Henrikson, R., & Merton, R. C. (19810). On market timing and investment performance II. Statistical procedures for evaluating forecasting skills. The Journal of Business, 44, 513-533.
  • Hicks, J. R. (1962). Liquidity. The Economic Journal, 72, 787-802.
  • Ilmanen, A. (1995). Time-varying expected returns in international bond markets. Journal of Finance, 50(2), 481-506.
  • Iqbal, N., & Quader, A. (2012). Survivorship-biased free mutual funds in Pakistan. American Journal of Scientific Research, 62, 127-134.
  • Jensen, M. C. (1968). The performance of mutual funds in the period 1945-1964. The Journal of Finance, 23, 389-416.
  • Jensen, M. (1972). Optimal utilization of market forecasts and the evaluation of investment performance. In G. Szego, & K. Shell (Eds.), Mathematical Methods in Investment and Finance (pp. 310-335).
  • North-Holland.
  • Kader, M., & Kuang, Y. (2007). Risk-adjusted performance, selectivity, timing ability and performance persistence of Hong Kong mutual funds. Journal of Asia-Pacific Business, 8(2), 25-28.
  • Kon, S. J., & Jen, F. C. (1978). The investment performance of mutual funds: An empirical investigation of timing, selectivity and market efficiency. Journal of Business, 52, 263-289.
  • Kosowski, Timmermann, A., Russ, & White. (2006). Can mutual fund stars really pick stocks, new evidence from a bootstrap analysis. The Journal of Finance, 6(6), 2551-2595.
  • Koulis, A., Beneki, C., Adam, M., & Botsaris, C. (2011).An assessment of the performance of Greek mutual equity funds selectivity and market-timing. Applied Mathematical Science, 5(4), 159-171.
  • Lee, C. F., & Rahman, S. (1990). Market-timing, selectivity and mutual fund performance: An empirical investigation. Journal of Business, 63, 261-278.
  • Linter, J. (1965). Security prices, risk and maximal gains from diversification. The Journal of Finance, 20(4), 587-615.
  • Mansor, F., & Bhatti, M. I. (2011). The Islamic mutual fund performance: New evidence on market-timing and stock selectivity. International Conference on Economics and Finance Research (pp. 477-484). Singapore: ACSIT Press.
  • Markowitz, H. M. (1952). Portfolio selection. Journal of Finance, 12, 77-91.
  • Mossin, J. (1966). Equilibrium in a capital asset market. Econometrica, 34, 141-183.
  • Otten, R., & Bams, D. (2004). How to measure mutual fund performance: Economic versus Statistical relevance. Journal of Accounting and Finance, 44(2),203-222.
  • Pesaran, M. H., & Timmermann, A. (1995). Predictability of stick returns: Robustness and economic significance. Journal of Finance, 50(4), 1201-1228.
  • Redman, A., Gullet, N., & Manakyan, H. (2000). The performance of global and international mutual fund. Journal of Financial and Strategic Decisions, 13(1), 75-85.
  • Roy, S., & Ghosh, S. K. (2012). Selectivity as a measure of mutual fund performance: A comparative study of the open-ended income and growth schemes. Global Journal of Finance and Economic Management,
  • (1), 69-86.
  • Shanmughan, R., & Zabiulla. (2011). Stock selection strategies of equity mutual fund managers in India. Middle Eastern Finance and Economics, 11, 19-27.
  • Sharpe, W. F. (1964). A simplified model for portfolio analysis. Management Science, 277-293.
  • Sharpe, W. F. (1966). Mutual fund performance. Journal of Business, 39, 119-138.
  • Silva, F., Cortez, M., & Armada, M. (2003). Conditioning information and European bonds fund performance. European Financial Management, 9(2), 201-230.
  • Sipra, N. (2002). Mutual fund performance in Pakistan 1995-2004 (pp. 6-45). Retrieved from www.ssrn.com
  • Sondhi, H. J., & Jain, P. K. (2006). Can growth stocks be identified for investment? A study of equity selectivity abilities of fund managers in India. The ICFAI Journal of Applied Finance, 13, 17-30.
  • Tobin, J. (1958). Liquidity preference as behaviour towards risk. The Review of Economic Studies, 25, 65-86.
  • Treynor, J. L. (1965). How to rate management of investment funds. Harvard Business Review, 43(1), 63-75.
  • Treynor, J. L., & Mazuy, J. (1966). Can mutual fund outguess the market. Harvard Business Review, 44,
  • -136.

Abstract Views: 116

PDF Views: 0




  • Conditional Selectivity Performance of Indian Mutual Fund Managers

Abstract Views: 116  |  PDF Views: 0

Authors

Subrata Roy
Associate Professor, Department of Commerce, Mahatma Gandhi Central University, Motihari, Bihar, India, India

Abstract


In India, the performance evaluation of mutual fund based on the conditional model is scanty. This study focuses particularly on stock selection performance of the selected open-ended mutual fund schemes under the framework of conditional investment performance measure, over the period 2001 to 2019, by taking into consideration monthly closing NAV values. The study also considers 91-day Treasury bill rate as risk-free rate. Along with this, the study examines the difference in performances between the traditional model (unconditional) and the conditional model. The regression result is the absence of heteroscedasticity and multicollinearity problems. The time series data is also free from unit root. It is observed that the significant stock-selection performance is reduced after inclusion of public information in the conditional model, and the alpha values of the schemes are also reduced, compared to the unconditional model. The statistical test shows insignificant difference between the two measures.

Keywords


Conditional Model, Ferson, Mutual Fund, Performance Appraisal, Selectivity, Traditional Model

References