Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

Is CAPM Still Valid in Today’s Market Scenario?


Affiliations
1 Department of Management, Mizoram University , Tanhril, Aizawl - 796 004, India
2 Department of Management, Mizoram University, Tanhril, Aizawl - 796 004, India

   Subscribe/Renew Journal


The current study examined the CAPM’s applicability in the Indian capital market. The study collected weekly closing price data of 48 companies listed on the NSE Nifty 50 index for 10 years, from April 2011 to March 2021. The five portfolios were formed by taking 10 stocks for each portfolio except the last portfolio, which had eight stocks starting from the highest beta securities to the lowest beta security. Rolling regression methodology was applied where the sample data was divided into 3 years, which kept moving for a quarter. A constrained model proposed by Bajpai and Sharma (2015) was tested, and a comparison was made between the constrained model and the conventional model. In the Indian capital market, CAPM is found to be very important, and the constrained model in this study outperformed the conventional model.

Keywords

CAPM, stock, NSE, beta.
User
Subscription Login to verify subscription
Notifications
Font Size

  • Anwar, M., & Kumar, S. (2018). CAPM – Empirical evidence from the Indian stock market. Indian Journal of Research in Capital Markets, 5(4), 38 – 52. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijrcm/2018/v5/i4/141546
  • Arora, D., & Gakhar, D. V. (2019). Asset pricing models: A study of CNX Nifty 500 index companies. Indian Journal of Finance, 13(4), 20 – 35. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2019/v13i4/143125
  • Aziz, T., & Ansari, V.A. (2014). Size and value premiums in the Indian stock market. Pacific Business Review International, 7(4), 74 – 80.
  • Bajpai, S., & Sharma, A. K. (2015). An empirical testing of capital asset pricing model in India. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 189, 259 – 265. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2015.03.221
  • Balakrishnan, A. (2016). Size, value, and momentum effects in stock returns: Evidence from India. Vision: The Journal of Business Perspective, 20(1), 1– 8. https://doi.org/10.1177%2F0972262916628929
  • Banz, R. W. (1981). The relationship between return and market value of common stocks. Journal of Financial Economics, 9(1), 3–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(81)90018-0
  • Basu, D., & Chawla, D. (2010). An empirical test of CAPM - The case of Indian stock market. Journal in Quantitative Enquiry, 11(2), 209 – 220.
  • Basu, S. (1977). Investment performance of common stocks in relation to their price-earnings ratios: A test of the efficient market hypothesis. The Journal of Finance, 32(3), 663 – 682. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1977.tb01979.x
  • Bhandari, L. C. (1988). Debt/equity ratio and expected common stock returns: Empirical evidence. The Journal of Finance, 43(2), 507 – 528. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1988.tb03952.x
  • Black, F. (1972). Capital market equilibrium with restricted borrowing. The Journal of Business, 45(3), 444 – 455. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2351499
  • Cheung, Y. - L., Wong, K. - A., & Ho, Y. - K. (1993). The pricing of risky assets in two emerging Asian markets — Korea and Taiwan. Applied Financial Economics, 3(4), 315 – 324. https://doi.org/10.1080/758534943
  • Choudhary, P. (2016). Testing of CAPM in Indian context. Business Analyst, 37(1), 1–18.
  • Choudhary, K., & Choudhary, S. (2010). Testing capital asset pricing model: Empirical evidences from Indian equity market. Eurasian Journal of Business and Economics, 3(6), 127–138.
  • Dai, J., Hu, J., & Lan, S. (2014). Research on capital asset pricing model empirical in China market. Journal of Chemical and Pharmaceutical Research, 6(6), 431 – 436.
  • Dash, M., & Rishika, N. (2011). Asset pricing models in Indian capital markets. Indian Journal of Finance, 5(11), 4 –10.
  • Diwani, M. (2010). A study that investigates the validity of the CAPM in Bombay Stock Exchange Sensex 30. Lund University. https://lup.lub.lu.se/luur/download?func=downloadFile&recordOId=1583204&fileOId=1647212
  • Dowen, R. J. (1988). Beta, non-systematic risk and portfolio selection. Applied Economics, 20(2), 221–228. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036848800000006
  • Fama, E. F., & MacBeth, J.D. (1973). Risk, return, and equilibrium: Empirical tests.The Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 607– 636. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1831028
  • Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1992). The cross-section of expected stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(2), 427 – 465. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04398.x
  • Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993). Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3 – 56. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(93)90023-5
  • Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1995). Size and book-to-market factors in earnings and returns. The Journal of Finance, 50(1), 131–155. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1995.tb05169.x
  • Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2015). A five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1 – 22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.10.010
  • Gahe, Z. S., Hongzhong, Z., Allate, B. M., & Belinga, T. (2017). Capital asset pricing model testing in West Africa economic and monetary union stock market: The case of Ivorian listed firms. International Journal of Research – Granthaalah, 5(2), 23 – 30.
  • Gupta, L.C. (1981). Rates of return on equities.Oxford University Press.
  • Hussain, S., & Islam, K. U. (2017). Is the capital asset pricing model valid in the Indian context? Pacific Business Review International, 9(7), 115 – 124.
  • Isa, A. H., Puah, C. - H., & Yong, Y. - K. (2008). Risk and return nexus in Malaysian stock market: Empirical evidence from CAPM(MPRA Paper 12355). University Library of Munich, Germany. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/12355/1/MPRA_paper_12355.pdf
  • Jagannathan, R., & Wang, Z. (1993). CAPM is alive as well(Staff Report No. 165). Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. https://doi.org/10.21034/sr.165
  • Johri, S., Maheshwari, T., & Srivastva, P. (2016). Stock market predictability: Does traditional CAPM model holds good in recent times on Indian companies. International Journal of Science, Technology and Management, 5(5), 10–16.
  • Karakoc, B. (2016). A validity analysis of capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in Istanbul Stock Exchange. Journal of Social Sciences of Mus Alparslan University, 4(1), 46–56. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/226711
  • Lakonishok, J., & Shapiro, A. C. (1986). Systematic risk, total risk and size as determinants of stock market returns. Journal of Banking and Finance, 10(1), 115–132. https://doi.org/10.1016/0378-4266(86)90023-3
  • Lau, S. C., Quay, S. R., & Ramsey, C. M. (1974). The Tokyo Stock Exchange and capital asset pricing model. The Journal of Finance, 29(2), 507–514. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1974.tb03063.x
  • Linter, J. (1965). The valuation of risk assets and selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets. Review of Economics and Statistics, 47(1), 13–37. https://doi.org/10.2307/1924119
  • Manjunatha, T. (2008). Asset pricing in Indian securities market: The role of beta and book to market equity ratio. Indian Journal of Finance, 2(2),18–25 . http://www.indianjournaloffinance.co.in/index.php/IJF/article/view/71673
  • Markowitz, H.M. (1959). Portfolio selection: Efficient diversification of investments. John Wiley & Sons.
  • Nyangara, M., Nyangara, D., Ndlovu, G., & Tyavambiza, T. (2016). An empirical test of the validity of the capital asset pricing model on the Zimbabwe stock exchange. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 6(2), 365 – 379.
  • Pandey, A. (2016). Applicability of capital asset pricing model in the Indian stock market. International Journal of Ethics in Engineering & Management Education, 3(12), 1 – 5.
  • Panwar, V. (2016). Testing the validity of capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in the Indian stock market. Indian Journal of Research in Capital Markets, 3(3),49 – 56 . http://indianjournalofcapitalmarkets.com/index.php/ijrcm/article/view/103702
  • Rabha, D., & Singh, R. G. (2021). An empirical evaluation of the capital asset pricing model in the Indian security market. Management Convergence, 12(1), 15 – 27.
  • Raghuram, G., & Erickson, C. (2017). Identifying structural breaks in asset pricing behavior in the Indian context. Indian Journal of Finance, 11(6), 7 – 20. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2017/v11i6/115592
  • Ratra, D. (2017). Application of capital asset pricing model in Indian stock market. International Journal of Engineering and Management Research, 7(2), 1–7.
  • Rehman, H., Gul, S., Razzaq, N., Saif, N., Rehman, S., & Javed, A. (2013). Impact of capital asset pricing model (CAPM) on Pakistan (the case of KSE 100 Index). Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 4(7), 167–177.
  • Reinganum, M. R. (1981). A new empirical respective on the CAPM. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 16(4), 439 – 462. https://doi.org/10.2307/2330365
  • Scheicher, M. (2000). Time-varying risk in the German stock market. The European Journal of Finance, 6(1), 70 – 91. https://doi.org/10.1080/135184700336964
  • Sharpe, W.F. (1964). Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425 – 442. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1964.tb02865.x
  • Srinivasan, S. (1988). Testing of capital asset pricing model in Indian environment. Decision, 15(1), 51 – 59.
  • Yalwar, Y. B. (1988). Bombay Stock Exchange: Rates of return and efficiency. Indian Economics Journal, 35(4), 68 – 121.
  • Yasmeen, Awan, M.S., Ghauri, S., & Waqas, M. (2012). The capital asset pricing model: Empirical evidence from Pakistan (Munich Personal RePEc Archive).https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/41961/1/MPRA_paper_41961.pdf

Abstract Views: 317

PDF Views: 0




  • Is CAPM Still Valid in Today’s Market Scenario?

Abstract Views: 317  |  PDF Views: 0

Authors

Debajit Rabha
Department of Management, Mizoram University , Tanhril, Aizawl - 796 004, India
Rajkumar Giridhari Singh
Department of Management, Mizoram University, Tanhril, Aizawl - 796 004, India

Abstract


The current study examined the CAPM’s applicability in the Indian capital market. The study collected weekly closing price data of 48 companies listed on the NSE Nifty 50 index for 10 years, from April 2011 to March 2021. The five portfolios were formed by taking 10 stocks for each portfolio except the last portfolio, which had eight stocks starting from the highest beta securities to the lowest beta security. Rolling regression methodology was applied where the sample data was divided into 3 years, which kept moving for a quarter. A constrained model proposed by Bajpai and Sharma (2015) was tested, and a comparison was made between the constrained model and the conventional model. In the Indian capital market, CAPM is found to be very important, and the constrained model in this study outperformed the conventional model.

Keywords


CAPM, stock, NSE, beta.

References





DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf%2F2022%2Fv16i5%2F169518