Author Details

Affiliations
1 National Geophysical Research Institute (Council of Scientific and Industrial Research), Uppal Road, Hyderabad - 500 007, IN
2 National Geophysical Research Institute (CSIR), Uppal Road, Hyderabad - 500 007, IN

Source

Journal of Geological Society of India (Online archive from Vol 1 to Vol 78), Vol 77, No 1 (2011), Pagination: 5-11

Abstract

Earthquake activity is monitored in real time at the Koyna reservoir in western India, beginning from August 2005 and successful short term forecasts have been made of M ∼ 4 earthquakes. The basis of these forecasts is the observation of nucleation that precedes such earthquakes. Here we report that a total of 29 earthquakes in the magnitude range of 3.5 to 5.1 occurred in the region during the period of August 2005 through May 2010. These earthquakes could broadly be put in three zones. Zone-A has been most active accounting for 18 earthquakes, while 5 earthquakes in Zone-B and 6 in Zone-C have occurred. Earthquakes in Zone-A are preceded by well defined nucleation, while it is not the case with zones B and C. This indicates the complexity of the earthquakes processes and the fact that even in a small seismically active area of only 20 km x 30 km earthquake forecast is difficult.

Keywords

Earthquake, Nucleation, Forecast, Koyna Reservoir, Maharashtra.

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