Public Order Expenditure and Crime Upsurge in Kenya

Kenya is critical in terms of threats from terrorism, cross border crime and fighting across ethnic lines. As such it needs active policing, law enforcement and reformed criminal justice system. All these need more money and huge commitment. The analysis in our paper covered the period 1980-2012 and the co integration methodologies of Johansen (1988) and Johansen-Juselius (1990, 1992) were applied to the VAR model. We intended to contribute to the current debate about security nightmare in Kenya for crime wave has become a distinct stress and a threat to the country from both international crime and domestic. In particular, Crime and the fear of crime rank number one noticeable issue in Kenya. We demonstrated that the effect of an increased public order spending on crime was significant and correlate much more strongly with crime as well as the real per capita income. However it was evident that an increase in expenditure does not reduce crime in Kenya.