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Authors
Affiliations
1 Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Environmental Biology, 1200 Amsterdam Avenue, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, US
2 School of International and Public Affairs, 420 West 118t Street, New York, NY 10027, US
3 Ashoka University, Rajiv Gandhi Education City, Sonipat 131 029, IN
4 International Institute of Health Management Research, Plot No 3, Sector 18, Sector 18a Dwarka, Phase II, New Delhi, Delhi 110 075, IN
5 Department of Geography and Spatial Sciences, 261 S. College Avenue, 111 Robinson Hall, Newark, DE 19716, US
6 School of Development, Azim Premji University, PES Campus, Pixel Park, B Block, Electronics City, Hosur Road (Besides NICE Road), Bengaluru 560 100, IN
7 School of Advances International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, 1740 Massachusetts Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20036, US
Source
Current Science, Vol 119, No 1 (2020), Pagination: 52-58
Abstract
Seasonal migration to cities is a common livelihood strategy for forest-fringe households in central India. Based on a previously collected household survey of 5000 villages across 500 forest-fringe villages in 32 dis-tricts of central India, we identify migration patterns over the last 5 years. Villages with seasonal workers are widely dispersed (75% of surveyed villages) and 81% of destination cities had reported COVID-19 cas-es at the beginning of the lockdown. Using a disease spread model to assess distancing strategies if return-ing migrants carry the virus to villages, we find that lenient restrictions for people within a village com-bined with maximal restrictions between villages could reduce the number of people exposed compared with moderate restrictions both within and between villages. Such a ‘village bubble’ strategy could reduce the risk of spread among vulnerable populations and requires that essential goods reach villages.
Keywords
COVID-19, Containment, Forest-Fringe Villages, Lockdown, Migration.
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