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Oglethorpe, Judy
- Assessing Climate Change Impacts on forest Ecosystems for Landscape-Scale Spatial Planning in Nepal
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Authors
Gokarna Jung Thapa
1,
Eric Wikramanayake
2,
Shant Raj Jnawali
2,
Judy Oglethorpe
2,
Ramesh Adhikari
1
Affiliations
1 WWF Nepal Program, Baluwatar, Kathmandu, NP
2 Hariyo Ban Program, WWF Nepal and CARE, Baluwatar, Kathmandu, NP
1 WWF Nepal Program, Baluwatar, Kathmandu, NP
2 Hariyo Ban Program, WWF Nepal and CARE, Baluwatar, Kathmandu, NP
Source
Current Science, Vol 110, No 3 (2016), Pagination: 345-352Abstract
Global climate change is affecting biodiversity and ecological processes. We coupled a general circulation model that uses global datasets with terrain-based analyses to identify potential climate refugia in two conservation landscapes in Nepal for climate changeintegrated conservation planning. The results indicate that lower and mid-montane forests are vulnerable to climate change, but the temperate upper montane and subalpine forests are more resilient and represent macrorefugia. However, the terrain-based analysis indicates persistence of climate microrefugia in the lower and mid-mountains. Conservation strategies should prioritize the larger climate-resilient forests as macrorefugia, but also include the microrefugia in landscape conservation plans.Keywords
Climate Change, Forest Ecosystems, Refugia, Landscape Conservation.Full Text
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