Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

Herding Behavior in the Indian Stock Market : An Empirical Study


Affiliations
1 Assistant Professor, Jagdish Sheth School of Management (Formerly IFIM B School), 8 P & 9 P, KIADB Industrial Area, Electronic City Phase I, Bengaluru - 560 100, Karnataka, India
2 Associate Professor, Symbiosis School of Banking and Finance, Symbiosis International (Deemed University), Pune - 412 115, Maharashtra, India

   Subscribe/Renew Journal


The herding behavior in financial markets indicates the process whereby the different participants of the market trade in a similar direction simultaneously. This kind of trading pattern seems like a consensus in the market. There are different reasons for herding to exist : to be part of a group, to avoid the feeling of being left out, reaction to some kind of new information, etc. In this paper, we tried to identify the existence of herding behavior in the Indian stock market. The markets were examined over a time frame of the last 15 years to determine the existence of herding behavior at various points of time. The three time periods selected for the study were 2003 – 2007 (pre - financial crisis), 2008 – 2012 (sub-prime crisis), and 2013 – 2017 (post) crisis. The study used security return dispersion as a substitute for herd behavior. In order to test the presence of herding behavior, linear regression model using dummy variables was used. The evidence supported the presence of herding in the Indian stock market during the financial crisis time period and the post-crisis period. In the pre - financial crisis period, there was no herding phenomenon observed.

Keywords

Herding, Indian Stock Market, Behavioral Finance.

JEL Classification Codes : D53, E44, G40, G41.

Paper Submission Date : April 18, 2020 ; Paper sent back for Revision : November 2, 2020 ; Paper Acceptance Date : March 3, 2021 ; Paper Published Online : July 5, 2021.

User
Subscription Login to verify subscription
Notifications
Font Size

  • Banerjee, A. V. (1992). A simple model of herd behavior. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(3), 797–817. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118364
  • Barber, B. M., Odean, T., & Zhu, N. (2008). Do retail trades move markets ? The Review of Financial Studies, 22(1), 151–186. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhn035
  • Bennett, J. A., Sias, R. W., & Starks, L. T. (2003). Greener pastures and the impact of dynamic institutional preferences. The Review of Financial Studies, 16(4), 1203–1238. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhg040
  • Bikhchandani, S., & Sharma, S. (2000). Herd behavior in financial markets. IMF Staff Papers, 47(3), 279–310.
  • Bikhchandani, S., Hirshleifer, D., & Welch, I. (1992). A theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural change as informational cascades. Journal of Political Economy, 100(5), 992–1026. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2138632
  • Chang, C. - H., & Lin, S. - J. (2015). The effects of national culture and behavioral pitfalls on investors' decision - making : Herding behavior in international stock markets. International Review of Economics & Finance, 37, 380–392. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2014.12.010
  • Chang, E. C., Cheng, J. W., & Khorana, A. (2000). An examination of herd behavior in equity markets : An international perspective. Journal of Banking & Finance, 24(10), 1651–1679. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(99)00096-5
  • Chiang, T. C., & Zheng, D. (2010). An empirical analysis of herd behavior in global stock markets. Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(8), 1911–1921. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.12.014
  • Choi, N., & Sias, R. W. (2009). Institutional industry herding. Journal of Financial Economics, 94(3), 469–491. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2008.12.009
  • Christie, W. G., & Huang, R. D. (1995). Following the pied piper : Do individual returns herd around the market ? Financial Analysts Journal, 51(4), 31–37. https://www.jstor.org/stable/4479855
  • Cipriani, M., & Guarino, A. (2008). Herd behavior and contagion in financial markets. The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, 8(1), 1–54.
  • Clements, A., Hurn, S., & Shi, S. (2017). An empirical investigation of herding in the U.S. stock market. Economic Modelling, 67, 184–192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2016.12.015
  • Dang, H. V., & Lin, M. (2016). Herd mentality in the stock market : On the role of idiosyncratic participants with heterogeneous information. International Review of Financial Analysis, 48, 247–260. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2016.10.005
  • Demirer, R., & Kutan, A. M. (2006). Does herding behavior exist in Chinese stock markets ? Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 16(2), 123–142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2005.01.002
  • Demirer, R., Kutan, A. M., & Chen, C. - D. (2010). Do investors herd in emerging stock markets ? : Evidence from the Taiwanese market. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 76(2), 283–295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2010.06.013
  • Devenow, A., & Welch, I. (1996). Rational herding in financial economics. European Economic Review, 40(3–5), 603–615. https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(95)00073-9
  • Economou, F., Kostakis, A., & Philippas, N. (2011). Cross-country effects in herding behaviour: Evidence from four south European markets. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 21(3), 443–460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2011.01.005
  • Falkenstein, E. G. (1996). Preferences for stock characteristics as revealed by mutual fund portfolio holdings. The Journal of Finance, 51(1), 111–135. https://doi.org/10.2307/2329304
  • Fischolar_main, K. A., Scharfstein, D. S., & Stein, J. C. (1992). Herd on the street : Informational inefficiencies in a market with short - term speculation. The Journal of Finance, 47(4), 1461–1484. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04665.x
  • Galariotis, E. C., Krokida, S. - I., & Spyrou, S. I. (2016). Bond market investor herding : Evidence from the European financial crisis. International Review of Financial Analysis, 48, 367–375. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2015.01.001
  • Galariotis, E. C., Rong, W., & Spyrou, S. I. (2015). Herding on fundamental information : A comparative study. Journal of Banking & Finance, 50, 589–598. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.03.014
  • Garg, A., & Gulati, R. (2013). Do investors herd in Indian market. Decision, 40, 181–196. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40622-013-0015-z
  • Gompers, P. A., & Metrick, A. (2001). Institutional investors and equity prices. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 229–259. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355301556392
  • Grinblatt, M., Titman, S., & Wermers, R. (1995). Momentum investment strategies, portfolio performance, and herding : A study of mutual fund behavior. The American Economic Review, 85(5) 1088–1105. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2950976
  • Hirshleifer, D., Subrahmanyam, A., & Titman, S. (1994). Security analysis and trading patterns when some investors receive information before others. The Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1665–1698. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1994.tb04777.x
  • Hirshleifer, D., & Hong Teoh, S. (2003). Herd behaviour and cascading in capital markets : A review and synthesis. European Financial Management, 9(1), 25–66. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-036x.00207
  • Hsieh, S. - F. (2013). Individual and institutional herding and the impact on stock returns : Evidence from Taiwan stock market. International Review of Financial Analysis, 29, 175–188. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2013.01.003
  • Isidore, R. R., & Christie, P. (2018). Investment behavior of secondary equity investors : An examination of the relationship among the biases. Indian Journal of Finance, 12(9), 7–20. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2018/v12i9/131556
  • Kanojia, S., & Malhotra, D. (2021). A case study of stock market bubbles in the Indian stock market. Indian Journal of Finance, 15(2), 22–48. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2021/v15i2/157638
  • Kanojia, S., Singh, D., & Goswami, A. (2020). Impact of herding on the returns in the Indian stock market : An empirical study. Review of Behavioral Finance, Ahead-of-print. https://doi.org/10.1108/RBF-01-2020-0017
  • Keynes, J. M. (1936). Chapter 12 : The state of long-term expectation. In, The general theory of employment, interest and money. Macmillan.
  • Klein, A. C. (2013). Time-variations in herding behavior : Evidence from a Markov switching SUR model. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 26, 291–304. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2013.06.006
  • Lakonishok, J., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R.W. (1992). The impact of institutional trading on stock prices. Journal of Financial Economics, 32(1), 23–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(92)90023-Q
  • Lao, P., & Singh, H. (2011). Herding behaviour in the Chinese and Indian stock markets. Journal of Asian Economics, 22(6), 495–506. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2011.08.001
  • Lin, A. Y., & Swanson, P. E. (2003). The behavior and performance of foreign investors in emerging equity markets: Evidence from Taiwan. International Review of Finance, 4(3–4), 189–210. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2443.2005.00046.x
  • Litimi, H., BenSaïda, A., & Bouraoui, O. (2016). Herding and excessive risk in the American stock market : A sectoral analysis. Research in International Business and Finance, 38, 6–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.03.008
  • Lux, T. (1995). Herd behaviour, bubbles and crashes. The Economic Journal, 105(431), 881–896. https://doi.org/10.2307/2235156
  • Mangala, D., & Sharma, M. (2014). A brief mapping of theory and evidence of investors' behavioural biases. Indian Journal of Finance, 8(8), 44–56. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2014/v8i8/71855
  • Nofsinger, J. R., & Sias, R. W. (1999). Herding and feedback trading by institutional and individual investors. The Journal of Finance, 54(6), 2263–2295. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00188
  • Olsen, R. A. (2011). Financial risk perceptions : A behavioral perspective. In, Advances in entrepreneurial finance (pp. 45–67). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-7527-0_4
  • Park, A., & Sabourian, H. (2011). Herding and contrarian behavior in financial markets. Econometrica, 79(4), 973–1026. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA8602
  • Poshakwale, S., & Mandal, A. (2014). Investor behaviour and herding : Evidence from the national stock exchange in India. Journal of Emerging Market Finance, 13(2), 197–216. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972652714541341
  • Raut, R. K., & Das, N. (2015). Behavioral prospects of individual investor decision making process : A review. Indian Journal of Finance, 9(4), 44–55. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2015/v9i4/71457
  • Satish, B., & Padmasree, K. (2018). An empirical analysis of herding behaviour in Indian stock market. International Journal of Management Studies, 3(3), 124–132.
  • Scharfstein, D. S., & Stein, J. C. (1990). Herd behavior and investment. The American Economic Review, 90(3), 705–706. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.90.3.705
  • Sewell, M. V. (2012). The efficient market hypothesis : Empirical evidence. International Journal of Statistics and Probability, 1(2). doi:10.5539/ijsp.v1n2p164
  • Shiller, R. J. (1987). Investor behavior in the October 1987 stock market crash : Survey evidence (Working Paper No. 2446). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w2446
  • Shyu, J., & Sun, H. - M. (2010). Do institutional investors herd in emerging markets ? Evidence from the Taiwan stock market. Asian Journal of Finance & Accounting, 2(2), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.5296/ajfa.v2i2.456
  • Sias, R. W. (2004). Institutional herding. The Review of Financial Studies, 17(1), 165–206. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhg035
  • Stavroyiannis, S., & Babalos, V. (2020). Time-varying herding behavior within the Eurozone stock markets during crisis periods : Novel evidence from a TVP model. Review of Behavioral Finance, 12(2), 83–96. https://doi.org/10.1108/RBF-07-2018-0069
  • Venezia, I., Nashikkar, A., & Shapira, Z. (2011). Firm specific and macro herding by professional and amateur investors and their effects on market volatility. Journal of Banking & Finance, 35(7), 1599–1609. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.11.015
  • Wermers, R. (1999). Mutual fund herding and the impact on stock prices. The Journal of Finance, 54(2), 581–622. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00118
  • Wylie, S. (2005). Fund manager herding : A test of the accuracy of empirical results using U.K. data. The Journal of Business, 78(1), 381–403. https://doi.org/10.1086/426529

Abstract Views: 326

PDF Views: 0




  • Herding Behavior in the Indian Stock Market : An Empirical Study

Abstract Views: 326  |  PDF Views: 0

Authors

Pooja Gupta
Assistant Professor, Jagdish Sheth School of Management (Formerly IFIM B School), 8 P & 9 P, KIADB Industrial Area, Electronic City Phase I, Bengaluru - 560 100, Karnataka, India
Bindya Kohli
Associate Professor, Symbiosis School of Banking and Finance, Symbiosis International (Deemed University), Pune - 412 115, Maharashtra, India

Abstract


The herding behavior in financial markets indicates the process whereby the different participants of the market trade in a similar direction simultaneously. This kind of trading pattern seems like a consensus in the market. There are different reasons for herding to exist : to be part of a group, to avoid the feeling of being left out, reaction to some kind of new information, etc. In this paper, we tried to identify the existence of herding behavior in the Indian stock market. The markets were examined over a time frame of the last 15 years to determine the existence of herding behavior at various points of time. The three time periods selected for the study were 2003 – 2007 (pre - financial crisis), 2008 – 2012 (sub-prime crisis), and 2013 – 2017 (post) crisis. The study used security return dispersion as a substitute for herd behavior. In order to test the presence of herding behavior, linear regression model using dummy variables was used. The evidence supported the presence of herding in the Indian stock market during the financial crisis time period and the post-crisis period. In the pre - financial crisis period, there was no herding phenomenon observed.

Keywords


Herding, Indian Stock Market, Behavioral Finance.

JEL Classification Codes : D53, E44, G40, G41.

Paper Submission Date : April 18, 2020 ; Paper sent back for Revision : November 2, 2020 ; Paper Acceptance Date : March 3, 2021 ; Paper Published Online : July 5, 2021.


References





DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf%2F2021%2Fv15i5-7%2F164495