Review of Professional Management- A Journal of New Delhi Institute of Management

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Shock and Volatility Spillovers between Stock Markets of India and Select Asian Economies


Affiliations
1 Assistant Professor (Finance), University School of Management Studies, Guru Gobind Singh Indraprastha University, Dwarka, New Delhi, India
 

Flow of information and volatility coming from stock markets of other countries have significant impact on the stock market of a country. Volatility is even higher in the case the countries enjoy good economic conditions among themselves. The present manuscript aims to probe into the spread of impacts over a large range of returns and volatility in four major equity markets of Asia viz. India, China, Hongkong and Japan for a period of 18 years ranging from 2000 to 2017. The study uses VAR based GARCH model to determine the volatility spillover among the chosen countries for the period under assessment. The empirical outcomes of the study present that all selected markets have responded to their own lag of conditional volatility along with news shocks. The impact of conditional variance is higher in comparison to shocks which is an indication that markets fundamentals are stronger than corrections or shocks. The results of cross country spillover show that volatility of Shanghai Stock Exchange of China and shocks from Japan and Hongkong markets assert a significant effect over volatility of Indian equity market. Volatility of stock markets of Japan and China is not affected by the cross market volatility and shocks spillover from India. In contrast, volatility of Hongkong market is affected by shocks and volatility of Indian equity markets. Findings of the research have meaningful insights for the Governments and regulators, academicians, researchers, investors and fund managers in framing investment strategies in the chosen markets.

Keywords

Return, Volatility Spillovers, VAR, GARCH, Stock Markets.
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  • Shock and Volatility Spillovers between Stock Markets of India and Select Asian Economies

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Authors

Ashish Kumar
Assistant Professor (Finance), University School of Management Studies, Guru Gobind Singh Indraprastha University, Dwarka, New Delhi, India

Abstract


Flow of information and volatility coming from stock markets of other countries have significant impact on the stock market of a country. Volatility is even higher in the case the countries enjoy good economic conditions among themselves. The present manuscript aims to probe into the spread of impacts over a large range of returns and volatility in four major equity markets of Asia viz. India, China, Hongkong and Japan for a period of 18 years ranging from 2000 to 2017. The study uses VAR based GARCH model to determine the volatility spillover among the chosen countries for the period under assessment. The empirical outcomes of the study present that all selected markets have responded to their own lag of conditional volatility along with news shocks. The impact of conditional variance is higher in comparison to shocks which is an indication that markets fundamentals are stronger than corrections or shocks. The results of cross country spillover show that volatility of Shanghai Stock Exchange of China and shocks from Japan and Hongkong markets assert a significant effect over volatility of Indian equity market. Volatility of stock markets of Japan and China is not affected by the cross market volatility and shocks spillover from India. In contrast, volatility of Hongkong market is affected by shocks and volatility of Indian equity markets. Findings of the research have meaningful insights for the Governments and regulators, academicians, researchers, investors and fund managers in framing investment strategies in the chosen markets.

Keywords


Return, Volatility Spillovers, VAR, GARCH, Stock Markets.

References





DOI: https://doi.org/10.20968/rpm%2F2019%2Fv17%2Fi1%2F145649