Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

Ground Motion Prediction Equation For Earthquakes Along The Western Himalayan Arc


Affiliations
1 CSIR-National Geophysical Research Institute, Uppal Road, Hyderabad 500 007, India
2 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. Instituto de Geofísica, Circuito de la Investigación s/n, Ciudad Universitaria, Coyoacán, Mexico City 04510, Mexico
3 Departamento de Materiales, Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, Avenida San Pablo 180, Reynosa Tamaulipas, Azcapotzalco, Mexico City 02200, Mexico
4 National Centre for Seismology, India, Mausam Bhavan Complex, Lodi Road, New Delhi 110 003, India
 

A critical element in seismic hazard estimation is the ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) which relates expected seismic intensity at a point from an earthquake of a given magnitude and location. Presently available GMPEs for plate interface thrust earthquakes along the Himalayan arc suffer from limited number of strong motion recordings used in their derivation. In this study we use a larger dataset, including recordings from the 2015 Gorhka, Nepal earthquake (Mw 7.9) and some of its larger aftershocks, to derive GMPE for earthquakes along the Western Himalayan arc. The proposed GMPE should give more reliable estimation of ground motion parameters at hard sites along the arc and in Peninsular India, and at soft sites in the Indo-Gangetic Plains.

Keywords

Active Tectonics, Ground Motion Prediction Equation, Plate Interface Earthquake, Seismic Hazard.
User
Notifications
Font Size

  • Bilham, R., Larson, K. and Freymueller, J. T., GPS measurements of present-day convergence across the Nepal Himalaya. Nature, 1997, 386, 61–64.
  • Jouanne, F. et al., Current shortening across the Himalayas of Nepal. Geophys. J. Int., 2004, 157, 1–14; doi:10.1111/j.1365246X.2004.02180.
  • Larson, K. M., Burgmann, R., Bilham, R. and Freymueller, J. T., Kinematics of the India–Eurasia collision zone from GPS measurements. J. Geophys. Res., 1999, 104, 1077–1093; doi:10.1029/ 1998JB900043.
  • Stevens, V. L. and Avouac, J. P., Interseismic coupling on the main Himalayan thrust. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2015, 42, 5828–5837.
  • Bilham, R., Gaur, V. K. and Molnar, P., Himalayan seismic hazard. Science, 2001, 293, 1442–1444; doi:10.1126/science.1062584.
  • Raghukanth, S. T. G. and Iyengar, R. N., Estimation of seismic spectral acceleration in Peninsular India. J. Earth Syst. Sci., 2007, 116, 199–214.
  • Sharma, M. L., Douglas, J., Bungum, H. and Kotadia, J., Groundmotion prediction equations based on data from the Himalayan and Zagros region. J. Earthq. Eng., 2009, 13, 1191–1210; doi:10.1080/13632460902859151.
  • Singh, S. K., Ordaz, M., Dattatrayam, R. S. and Gupta, H. K., A spectral analysis of the 21 May 1997, Jabalpur, India earthquake (Mw = 5.8) and estimation of ground motion from future earthquakes in the Indian shield region. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 1999, 89, 1620–1630.
  • Singh, S. K. et al., Strong ground motion in the Indo-Gangetic Plains during the 2015 Gorkha, Nepal, earthquake sequence and its prediction during future earthquakes. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 2017, 107, 1293–1306; doi:10.1785/0120160222.
  • Sharma, M. L., Attenuation relationship for estimation of peak ground horizontal acceleration using data from strong-motion arrays in India. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 1998, 88, 1063–1069.
  • Singh, S. K., Mohanty, W., Bansal, B. K. and Roonwal, G. S., Ground motion in Delhi from future large/great earthquakes in the central seismic gaps of the Himalayan arc. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 2002, 92, 555–569.
  • Singh, S. K. et al., Estimation of ground motion for Bhuj (26 January 2001; Mw 7.6) and for future earthquakes in India. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 2003, 94, 1564–1570.
  • Singh, S. K. et al., A study of Delhi earthquake of 25 November 2007 (Mw 4.1): implications for seismic hazard. Curr. Sci., 2010, 99, 939–947.
  • Srinagesh, D., Singh, S. K., Suresh, G., Srinivas, D., PérezCampos, X. and Suresh, G., A study of Guptkashi, Uttarakhand earthquake of 6 February 2017 (Mw 5.2) in the Himalayan arc and implications for ground-motion estimation. J. Seismol., 2018, 22, 789–803; doi:10.1007/s10950-018-9732-2.
  • Parvez, I. A., Gusev, A. A., Panza, G. F. and Petukhin, A. G., Preliminary determination of the inter dependence among strongmotion amplitude, earthquake magnitude and hypocentral distance for the Himalayan region. Geophys. J. Int., 2001, 144, 577–596; doi:10.1046/j.1365-246x.2001.01335.
  • Boore, D. M., Simulation of ground motion using the stochastic method. Pure Appl. Geophys., 2003, 160, 635–676.
  • Chadha, R. K. et al., CIGN, a strong‐motion seismic network in central Indo‐Gangetic Plains, foothills of Himalayas: first results. Seismol. Res. Lett., 2016, 87, 37–46; doi:10.1785/0220150106.
  • Kumar, A., Mittal, H., Sachdeva, R. and Kumar, A., Indian strong motion instrumentation network. Seismol. Res. Lett., 2012, 83, 59– 66; doi:10.1785/gssrl.83.1.59.
  • Kumar, A., Mitra, S. and Suresh, G., Seismo-tectonics of the Eastern Himalayan and Indo-Burman plate boundary systems. Tectonics, 2015, 34, 2279–2295; doi:10.1002/2015TC003979.
  • Sharma, S. and Mitra, S., Seismic attenuation of the Eastern Himalayan and Indo-Burman plate boundary systems, Northeast India. J. Geophys. Res., 2018, 123, 10,797–10,809; https://doi.org/ 10.1029/2018JB016496.
  • Srinagesh, D., Singh, S. K., Chadha, R. K., Paul, A., Suresh, G., Ordaz, M. and Dattatrayam, R. S., Amplification of seismic waves in the central Indo-Gangetic basin, India. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 2011, 101, 2231–2242.
  • Srinivas, D., Srinagesh, D., Chadha, R. K. and Ravi Kumar, M., Sedimentary thickness variations in the Indo‐Gangetic Foredeep from inversion of receiver functions. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 2013, 103, 2257–2265; doi:10.1785/0120120046.
  • Takai, N., Shigefuji, M., Rajaure, S., Bijukchhen, S., Ichiyanagi, M., Dhital, M. R. and Sasatani, T., Strong ground motion in the Kathmandu valley during the 2015 Gorkha, Nepal, earthquake. Earth Planets Space, 2016, 68, 1–8; doi:10.1186/s40623-0160383-7.
  • Arroyo, D., García, D., Ordaz, M., Mora, M. A. and Singh, S. K., Strong ground-motion relations for Mexican interplate earthquakes. J. Seismol., 2010, 14, 769–785; doi:10.1007/s10950-0109200-0.
  • Singh, S. K. et al., Analysis of near-source strong motion recordings along the Mexican subduction zone. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 1989, 79, 1697–1717.
  • Ordaz, M., Singh, S. K. and Arciniega, A., Bayesian attenuation regressions and application to Mexico City. Geophys. J. Int., 1994, 117, 335–344.
  • Arroyo, D. and Ordaz, M., Multivariate Bayesian regression analysis applied to ground-motion prediction equations, part 1: theory and synthetic example. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 2010, 100, 1551–1567; doi:10.1785/0120080354.
  • Arroyo, D. and Ordaz, M., Multivariate Bayesian regression analysis applied to ground motion prediction equations, part 2: numerical example with actual data. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 2010, 100, 1568–1577; doi:10.1785/0120090320.
  • Zhao, J. X. et al., Attenuation relations of strong ground motion in Japan using site classification based on predominant period. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 2006, 96, 898–913.
  • Stevens, V. L. and Avouac, J. P., Millenary Mw > 9.0 earthquakes required by geodetic strain in the Himalaya. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2016, 43, 1118–1123.

Abstract Views: 288

PDF Views: 83




  • Ground Motion Prediction Equation For Earthquakes Along The Western Himalayan Arc

Abstract Views: 288  |  PDF Views: 83

Authors

Srinagesh
CSIR-National Geophysical Research Institute, Uppal Road, Hyderabad 500 007, India
S. K. Singh
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. Instituto de Geofísica, Circuito de la Investigación s/n, Ciudad Universitaria, Coyoacán, Mexico City 04510, Mexico
D. Arroyo
Departamento de Materiales, Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, Avenida San Pablo 180, Reynosa Tamaulipas, Azcapotzalco, Mexico City 02200, Mexico
D. Srinivas
CSIR-National Geophysical Research Institute, Uppal Road, Hyderabad 500 007, India
G. Suresh
National Centre for Seismology, India, Mausam Bhavan Complex, Lodi Road, New Delhi 110 003, India
G. Suresh
CSIR-National Geophysical Research Institute, Uppal Road, Hyderabad 500 007, India

Abstract


A critical element in seismic hazard estimation is the ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) which relates expected seismic intensity at a point from an earthquake of a given magnitude and location. Presently available GMPEs for plate interface thrust earthquakes along the Himalayan arc suffer from limited number of strong motion recordings used in their derivation. In this study we use a larger dataset, including recordings from the 2015 Gorhka, Nepal earthquake (Mw 7.9) and some of its larger aftershocks, to derive GMPE for earthquakes along the Western Himalayan arc. The proposed GMPE should give more reliable estimation of ground motion parameters at hard sites along the arc and in Peninsular India, and at soft sites in the Indo-Gangetic Plains.

Keywords


Active Tectonics, Ground Motion Prediction Equation, Plate Interface Earthquake, Seismic Hazard.

References





DOI: https://doi.org/10.18520/cs%2Fv120%2Fi6%2F1074-1082